| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Journal Article | |||
| Site | mtc-m21d.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W34T/4BJ8L6H | |||
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2024/07.01.16.19 | |||
| Last Update | 2024:07.01.16.19.25 (UTC) simone | |||
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2024/07.01.16.19.25 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2025:01.12.23.46.05 (UTC) administrator | |||
| DOI | 10.1371/journal.pntd.0011836 | |||
| ISSN | 1935-2727 1935-2735 | |||
| Citation Key | AslanPCMMLWMYTPMKASNDOGCLONABLPL:2024:EvHiTh | |||
| Title | Re-assessing thermal response of schistosomiasis transmission risk: Evidence for a higher thermal optimum than previously predicted  | |||
| Year | 2024 | |||
| Month | June | |||
| Access Date | 2025, May 09 | |||
| Type of Work | journal article | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE PI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 2492 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Aslan, Ibrahim Halil 2 Pourtois, Julie D. 3 Chamberlin, Andrew J 4 Mitchell, Kaitlyn R. 5 Mari, Lorenzo 6 Lwiza, Kamazima M. 7 Wood, Chelsea L. 8 Mordecai, Erin A. 9 Yu, Ao 10 Tuan, Roseli 11 Palasio, Raquel Gardini Sanches 12 Monteiro, Antonio Miguel Vieira 13 Kirk, Devin 14 Athni, Tejas S 15 Sokolow, Susanne H. 16 N'Goran, Eliezer K. 17 Diakite, Nana R. 18 Ouattara, Mamadou 19 Gatto, Marino 20 Casagrandi, Renato 21 Little, David C 22 Ozretich, Reed W. 23 Norman, Rachel 24 Allan, Fiona 25 Brierley, Andrew S 26 Liu, Ping 27 Pereira, Thiago A. 28 De Leo, Giulio A. | |||
| Resume Identifier | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JGJN | |||
| ORCID | 1 0000-0002-9188-167X | |||
| Group | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 DIOTG-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 Stanford University 2 Stanford University 3 Stanford University 4 Stanford University 5 Politecnico di Milano 6 Stony Brook University 7 University of Washington 8 Stanford University 9 Stanford University 10 Instituto Pasteur 11 Universidade de São Paulo (USP) 12 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 13 Stanford University 14 Stanford University 15 Stanford University 16 Universitè Feçix Houphoüet-Boigny 17 Universitè Feçix Houphoüet-Boigny 18 Universitè Feçix Houphoüet-Boigny 19 Politecnico di Milano 20 Politecnico di Milano 21 University of Stirling 22 University of Stirling 23 University of Stirling 24 Natural History Museum, London 25 University of St. Andrews 26 Stony Brook University 27 Stanford University 28 Stanford University | |||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 iaslan@stanford.edu 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 miguel.monteiro@inpe.br | |||
| Journal | Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases | |||
| Volume | 18 | |||
| Number | 6 | |||
| Pages | e0011836 | |||
| Secondary Mark | A1_MEDICINA_VETERINÁRIA A1_MEDICINA_II A1_MEDICINA_I A1_INTERDISCIPLINAR A1_GEOCIÊNCIAS A1_FARMÁCIA A1_ENFERMAGEM A1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I A1_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I A1_BIOTECNOLOGIA A2_SAÚDE_COLETIVA A2_MATEMÁTICA_/_PROBABILIDADE_E_ESTATÍSTICA A2_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_III A2_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_II A2_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS A2_BIODIVERSIDADE B1_PSICOLOGIA | |||
| History (UTC) | 2024-07-01 16:19:25 :: simone -> administrator :: 2024-07-01 16:19:27 :: administrator -> simone :: 2024 2024-07-01 16:22:58 :: simone -> administrator :: 2024 2025-01-12 23:46:05 :: administrator -> simone :: 2024 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | publisher | |||
| Abstract | The geographical range of schistosomiasis is affected by the ecology of schistosome parasites and their obligate host snails, including their response to temperature. Previous models predicted schistosomiasis' thermal optimum at 21.7 degrees C, which is not compatible with the temperature in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) regions where schistosomiasis is hyperendemic. We performed an extensive literature search for empirical data on the effect of temperature on physiological and epidemiological parameters regulating the free-living stages of S. mansoni and S. haematobium and their obligate host snails, i.e., Biomphalaria spp. and Bulinus spp., respectively. We derived nonlinear thermal responses fitted on these data to parameterize a mechanistic, process-based model of schistosomiasis. We then re-cast the basic reproduction number and the prevalence of schistosome infection as functions of temperature. We found that the thermal optima for transmission of S. mansoni and S. haematobium range between 23.1-27.3 degrees C and 23.6-27.9 degrees C (95% CI) respectively. We also found that the thermal optimum shifts toward higher temperatures as the human water contact rate increases with temperature. Our findings align with an extensive dataset of schistosomiasis prevalence in SSA. The refined nonlinear thermal-response model developed here suggests a more suitable current climate and a greater risk of increased transmission with future warming for more than half of the schistosomiasis suitable regions with mean annual temperature below the thermal optimum. In this research, we explored the complex interplay between temperature and the transmission risk of schistosomiasis, a parasitic disease currently affecting over two hundred million people, predominantly in SSA. We developed a novel mathematical model accounting for the multiple positive and negative ways temperature affects the free-living stages of the parasite and its obligate, non-human host, i.e., specific species of freshwater snails. Our models show that schistosomiasis transmission risk peaks at temperatures 1-6 degrees C higher than previously estimated. This indicates that the impact of climate change on schistosomiasis transmission might be more extensive than previously thought, affecting a wide geographic range where mean annual temperatures are currently below the optimal temperature. Our model projections are consistent with the observed temperatures in locations of SSA where schistosomiasis is endemic and data on infection prevalence in the human population are available. These findings suggest that the current climate is conducive to schistosomiasis transmission, and future warming could escalate the risk further, emphasizing the need for targeted interventions in these regions. | |||
| Area | SRE | |||
| Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > CGCT > Re-assessing thermal response... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
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| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| data URL | http://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34T/4BJ8L6H | |||
| zipped data URL | http://urlib.net/zip/8JMKD3MGP3W34T/4BJ8L6H | |||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | journal.pntd.0011836.pdf | |||
| User Group | simone | |||
| Reader Group | administrator simone | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Archiving Policy | allowpublisher allowfinaldraft | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Mirror Repository | urlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40.25 | |||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE | |||
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.40.32 4 | |||
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES. | |||
| Host Collection | urlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn keywords label lineage mark nextedition notes parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readpermission rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| update | ||||