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1. Identificação
Tipo de ReferênciaArtigo em Revista Científica (Journal Article)
Sitemtc-m21d.sid.inpe.br
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identificador8JMKD3MGP3W34T/4BJ8722
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2024/07.01.13.39   (acesso restrito)
Última Atualização2024:07.01.13.39.35 (UTC) simone
Repositório de Metadadossid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2024/07.01.13.39.35
Última Atualização dos Metadados2024:07.03.07.40.33 (UTC) administrator
DOI10.3389/frwa.2024.1385077
ISSN2624-9375
Chave de CitaçãoSilvaMelChoGuoVio:2024:ChExMe
TítuloCharacteristics of extreme meteorological droughts over the Brazilian Pantanal throughout the 21st century
Ano2024
MêsMay
Data de Acesso09 maio 2025
Tipo de Trabalhojournal article
Tipo SecundárioPRE PI
Número de Arquivos1
Tamanho33751 KiB
2. Contextualização
Autor1 Silva, Vinicius O.
2 Mello, Carlos R. de
3 Chou, Sin Chan
4 Guo, Li
5 Viola, Marcelo R.
Grupo1
2
3 DIMNT-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
Afiliação1 Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)
2 Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)
3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
4 Sichuan University
5 Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor1
2 crmello@ufla.br
3 chou.chan@inpe.br
RevistaFrontiers in Water
Volume6
Páginase1385077
Histórico (UTC)2024-07-01 13:40:12 :: simone -> administrator :: 2024
2024-07-03 07:40:33 :: administrator -> simone :: 2024
3. Conteúdo e estrutura
É a matriz ou uma cópia?é a matriz
Estágio do Conteúdoconcluido
Transferível1
Tipo do ConteúdoExternal Contribution
Tipo de Versãopublisher
Palavras-Chavedroughts
natural hazards
Brazilian biomes
environmental change
climate change
ResumoThe Brazilian Pantanal is a remarkable ecosystem, encompassing vital aspects such as fish, fruit, and grain production, greenhouse gas emission regulation, temperature and precipitation modulation, and groundwater recharge. However, 2019 and 2020 experienced prolonged and severe drought that profoundly impacted the Pantanal region. Although these impacts are still under review, their effects on wildlife, vegetation, and the local population are undeniable. To enhance our understanding of the magnitude and consequences of the 2019/2020 drought, the present study conducted a comprehensive evaluation of drought occurrences in the Pantanal biome. Utilizing two well-established drought indices, the standard precipitation index (SPI) and the standard precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI), we analyzed the available observational data provided by the Climate Research Unit (CRU). Additionally, we endeavored to project droughts throughout the 21st century, thereby facilitating the visualization of potential reoccurrences of hazardous events in the Pantanal area. Two regional climate model (RCM) ensembles, the Eta ensemble (E1) and CORDEX ensemble (E2), along with representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios) were used to project the severity of droughts in the Brazilian Pantanal until 2098/2099. The findings indicate that the hydrological year of 2019/2020 was the driest on record in the Pantanal over the past 80 years. The E1 ensemble did not project such an extreme event, whereas the E2 ensemble forecasted extreme droughts before the 2040s under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Using the SPEI, both ensembles showed similar results, with extreme droughts projected toward the end of the 21st century. Notably, the SPI demonstrated effectiveness in detecting short-term droughts, while the SPEI was more efficient for long-term assessments, projecting extreme drought events for the last two decades. The SPEI, employed with the Eta and CORDEX ensembles, can provide valuable insights into drought projections. Moreover, the potential recurrence of extreme droughts, characterized by significant below-average precipitation spanning vast areas throughout the hydrological year, poses a severe threat to the Pantanal biome in this century.
ÁreaMET
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4. Condições de acesso e uso
Idiomaen
Arquivo Alvofrwa-06-1385077.pdf
Grupo de Usuáriossimone
Grupo de Leitoresadministrator
simone
Visibilidadeshown
Permissão de Leituradeny from all and allow from 150.163
Permissão de Atualizaçãonão transferida
5. Fontes relacionadas
Repositório Espelhourlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40.25
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE
Lista de Itens Citandosid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2022/04.03.22.23 7
DivulgaçãoWEBSCI; PORTALCAPES.
Acervo Hospedeirourlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40
6. Notas
Campos Vaziosalternatejournal archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark nextedition notes number orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url
7. Controle da descrição
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