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Metadados

1. Identificação
Tipo de ReferênciaArtigo em Revista Científica (Journal Article)
Sitemtc-m21d.sid.inpe.br
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identificador8JMKD3MGP3W34T/4AGTQ7S
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2024/01.09.15.58   (acesso restrito)
Última Atualização2024:01.09.15.58.18 (UTC) simone
Repositório de Metadadossid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2024/01.09.15.58.18
Última Atualização dos Metadados2024:01.15.20.38.56 (UTC) administrator
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167753
ISSN0048-9697
Chave de CitaçãoDiasMartMart:2024:ClRiVu
TítuloClimate risks and vulnerabilities of the Arabica coffee in Brazil under current and future climates considering new CMIP6 models
Ano2024
MêsJan.
Data de Acesso09 maio 2025
Tipo de Trabalhojournal article
Tipo SecundárioPRE PI
Número de Arquivos1
Tamanho8969 KiB
2. Contextualização
Autor1 Dias, Cássia Gabriele
2 Martins, Fabrina Bolzan
3 Martins, Minella Alves
Grupo1
2
3 DIIAV-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
Afiliação1 Universidade Federal de Itajubá (UNIFEI)
2 Universidade Federal de Itajubá (UNIFEI)
3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor1 cassiadias@unifei.edu.br
2 fabrina@unifei.edu.br
3 minella.martins@inpe.com
RevistaScience of the Total Environment
Volume907
Páginase167753
Nota SecundáriaA1_ZOOTECNIA_/_RECURSOS_PESQUEIROS A1_SAÚDE_COLETIVA A1_INTERDISCIPLINAR A1_GEOGRAFIA A1_GEOCIÊNCIAS A1_ENGENHARIAS_III A1_ENGENHARIAS_I A1_ENFERMAGEM A1_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS A1_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I A1_CIÊNCIA_DE_ALIMENTOS A1_BIODIVERSIDADE A2_QUÍMICA A2_ODONTOLOGIA A2_MEDICINA_III A2_MEDICINA_II A2_MEDICINA_I A2_MATERIAIS A2_FARMÁCIA A2_ENGENHARIAS_II A2_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I A2_BIOTECNOLOGIA B1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_II B2_ASTRONOMIA_/_FÍSICA
Histórico (UTC)2024-01-09 15:58:18 :: simone -> administrator ::
2024-01-09 15:58:19 :: administrator -> simone :: 2024
2024-01-09 15:58:44 :: simone -> administrator :: 2024
2024-01-15 20:38:56 :: administrator -> simone :: 2024
3. Conteúdo e estrutura
É a matriz ou uma cópia?é a matriz
Estágio do Conteúdoconcluido
Transferível1
Tipo do ConteúdoExternal Contribution
Tipo de Versãopublisher
Palavras-ChaveAdaptation measures
Coffea arabica L.
Coffee diseases
Coffee pests
NEX-GDDP-CMIP6
Risk indicators
ResumoThe susceptibility to climate change concerns the coffee market worldwide due to possible severe productivity losses. Brazil is the world's largest Arabica coffee producer and has crops in regions considered persistent climate change hotspots. Our study analyzed risks, vulnerabilities, and susceptibilities to pests and diseases in these regions under current and future climates and outlined adaptive measures to reduce future vulnerabilities. Ten risk indicators based on Arabica coffee requirements were proposed: water supply (Iw), base (TIB) and maximum temperature stresses (TImax), which delimit the temperature range where Arabica coffee grows and productivity is penalized outside both ranges, frost stress (TIfrost), diseases such as rust (DIrust), brown eye spot (DIbrown), and Phoma leaf spot (DIphoma), pests such as coffee berry borer (PIberry), coffee leaf miner (PIminer), and yield loss due to water stress (Iyg). Daily near-surface air temperature (minimum, mean, and maximum), relative humidity, precipitation, and global solar radiation were used from 16 General Circulation Models (GCMs) from the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP), which are derived from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) in three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways scenarios (SSP245, SSP370 and SSP585). All risk indicators were calculated for the current climate (19952014) and projected for the near (20412060), intermediate (20612080), and far future (20812100) in three SSPs and then classified into five risk classes (very low, low, moderate, high and very high). Our results indicated that due to increases in TImax and Iyg indicators, with high to very high risk in area and magnitude, Arabica coffee plantations will be negatively affected and economically unfeasible for about 35 % to 75 % of the studied area throughout the 21st century. Furthermore, the rust and the leaf miner will remain a concern in future climates due to increased temperatures and reduced relative humidity. The future of Arabica coffee crops in Brazil will depend on adopting effective adaptive measures and prudent agricultural strategies to address anticipated risks, including shifting crops to higher altitude areas, introducing more climate-resilient coffee cultivars/varieties, using agroforestry or intercropping systems, planting in closer spacing or higher density planting, and employing dripper or partial root-zone irrigation techniques.
ÁreaCST
Arranjourlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > CGCT > Climate risks and...
Conteúdo da Pasta docacessar
Conteúdo da Pasta sourcenão têm arquivos
Conteúdo da Pasta agreement
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4. Condições de acesso e uso
Idiomaen
Arquivo Alvo1-s2.0-S0048969723063805-main.pdf
Grupo de Usuáriossimone
Grupo de Leitoresadministrator
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Visibilidadeshown
Política de Arquivamentodenypublisher denyfinaldraft24
Permissão de Leituradeny from all and allow from 150.163
Permissão de Atualizaçãonão transferida
5. Fontes relacionadas
Repositório Espelhourlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40.25
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE
Lista de Itens Citandosid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2022/04.03.22.23 13
DivulgaçãoWEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; MGA; COMPENDEX; SCOPUS.
Acervo Hospedeirourlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40
6. Notas
Campos Vaziosalternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark nextedition notes number orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url
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